Adaptation Curve

An operator’s view from the curve

Welcome to the Curve

One operator, adapting in public. Sharp essays on memory and agents — plus a live, cited model of where the AI build-out is bottlenecked right now. Two pillars, one bet: read this transition better than anyone watching from the outside.

The Thinking

Thoughts on Where AI-driven work is going

Essays on memory, agents, and building with AI — the ideas the data keeps proving right.

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The Build

4 / 10 binding

The AI supply chain bottlenecks, live

4 of 10 layers of the AI hardware stack are binding right now. Watch the constraint move in real time.

Enter the State of the Build →

The essays

All writing →

State of the AI Supply Chain

Ten layers of the AI hardware stack, scored as binding constraints — sourced, dated, and refreshed quarterly.

4of 10 layers
binding Now Jun 2026

The constraint has moved downstream → power.

NOWNEXTFUTUREElectrical gearSemi equipmentCooling & thermalPower generationMemory (HBM)Foundry & packagingNetworkingHyperscalers & cloudsCompute – chipsCompute demand
Binding Watch Clear

Operator’s notes on memory, agents, and building.

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